UEFA Nations League
Match Analysis
Türkiye
Italy
Türkiye
W
L
L
L
W
W
Italy
W
W
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | Türkiye | 0 - 0 | June 4, 2024 |
| Türkiye | Italy | 2 - 3 | March 29, 2022 |
| Türkiye | Italy | 0 - 3 | June 11, 2021 |
Türkiye Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | USA | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Paraguay | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Australia | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Venezuela | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 1, 26 | Home | FYR Macedonia | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Mar 26, 26 | Home | Romania | 1 - 0 | Win |
Italy Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Greece | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 3, 26 | Away | Luxembourg | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Mar 26, 26 | Home | Northern Ireland | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Nov 16, 25 | Home | Norway | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Nov 13, 25 | Away | Moldova | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Oct 14, 25 | Home | Israel | 3 - 0 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.86% likelihood that both Türkiye and Italy will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Türkiye or Italy to win
This prediction indicates that Italy has a 38.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.57 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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