Primera B Metropolitana
Match Analysis
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Armenio
UAI Urquiza
D
D
D
L
D
D
Deportivo Armenio
W
L
D
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Deportivo Armenio is considered the stronger side heading into this match, with a clear quality gap in their favor and better recent form compared to UAI Urquiza, who are struggling defensively and coming into the game in poor form. The model predicts an away win with a 45% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, the model flags the 'under 2.5 goals' outcome as a sure tip, showing stronger confidence in a lower-scoring game than the market odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Armenio | UAI Urquiza | 2 - 1 | April 4, 2026 |
| UAI Urquiza | Deportivo Armenio | 0 - 1 | October 19, 2025 |
| Deportivo Armenio | UAI Urquiza | 0 - 0 | May 31, 2025 |
| Deportivo Armenio | UAI Urquiza | 4 - 1 | October 12, 2024 |
| UAI Urquiza | Deportivo Armenio | 1 - 1 | May 25, 2024 |
| UAI Urquiza | Deportivo Armenio | 1 - 0 | June 17, 2023 |
UAI Urquiza Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Flandria | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Argentino Quilmes | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Defensores Unidos | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Comunicaciones | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Dock Sud | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Deportivo Merlo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Deportivo Armenio Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Villa Dalmine | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Excursionistas | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Arsenal Sarandi | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Argentino de Merlo | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Talleres Remedios | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Deportivo Laferrere | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera B Metropolitana Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 41 |
| 20 | UAI Urquiza | 29 | 3 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 27 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.8% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Deportivo Armenio to win
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Armenio has a 44.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.06 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments