UAI Urquiza vs Deportivo Merlo Saturday 11th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

UAI Urquiza Deportivo Merlo

UAI Urquiza D D D W L L

Deportivo Merlo L L D L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Deportivo Merlo	UAI Urquiza	0 - 0	February 27, 2026
Deportivo Merlo	UAI Urquiza	1 - 2	September 29, 2025
UAI Urquiza	Deportivo Merlo	1 - 1	May 10, 2025
UAI Urquiza	Deportivo Merlo	0 - 0	August 24, 2024
Deportivo Merlo	UAI Urquiza	1 - 1	April 6, 2024
Deportivo Merlo	UAI Urquiza	1 - 0	June 12, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Home	Sportivo Italiano	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	San Martín Burzaco	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	Villa San Carlos	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 8, 26	Home	Liniers	2 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Real Pilar	2 - 1	Loss
May 26, 26	Away	Comunicaciones	3 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Excursionistas	5 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Arsenal Sarandi	4 - 2	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Argentino de Merlo	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 5, 26	Away	Talleres Remedios	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 2, 26	Home	Deportivo Laferrere	2 - 1	Win
May 26, 26	Home	Liniers	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Deportivo Merlo	22	8	7	7	26	33	-7	31
20	UAI Urquiza	21	3	12	6	12	16	-4	21

This prediction suggests that there is a 62.35% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that UAI Urquiza will score 0 goals, and Deportivo Merlo will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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