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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 14, 2026 2 weeks, 1 day ago
0 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Uberlandia ABECAT Ouvidorense
Uberlandia D D D W W W
ABECAT Ouvidorense W W L D D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
ABECAT Ouvidorense Uberlandia 0 - 1 April 4, 2026

Uberlandia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Ivinhema 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Away CRAC 0 - 0 Draw
May 18, 26 Home Ipatinga 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Away Operario Ferroviario 1 - 2 Win
May 2, 26 Home Operario Ferroviario 2 - 1 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Ipatinga 0 - 2 Win

ABECAT Ouvidorense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Ipatinga 2 - 1 Win
May 23, 26 Home Operario Ferroviario 2 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away CRAC 2 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Ivinhema 0 - 0 Draw
May 2, 26 Home Ivinhema 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home CRAC 0 - 2 Loss

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
16 Uberlandia 9 5 3 1 12 7 +5 18
79 ABECAT Ouvidorense 9 2 3 4 7 9 -2 9

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.7% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Uberlandia to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Uberlandia has a 39.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.24 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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