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Serie D

July 11, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Uberlandia Serra Branca
Uberlandia D W L D D D
Serra Branca W W D D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Uberlandia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Rio Branco ES 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 21, 26 Away Rio Branco ES 0 - 2 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home ABECAT Ouvidorense 0 - 1 Loss
May 31, 26 Away Ivinhema 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Away CRAC 0 - 0 Draw
May 18, 26 Home Ipatinga 1 - 1 Draw

Serra Branca Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 28, 26 Away Juazeirense 0 - 1 Win
Jun 21, 26 Home Juazeirense 2 - 0 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away Sergipe 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Retrô 0 - 0 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Decisão 0 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Home Treze 1 - 2 Loss

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Uberlandia 12 6 4 2 16 10 +6 22
26 Serra Branca 11 4 6 1 14 8 +6 18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.44% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Uberlandia will score 0 goals, and Serra Branca will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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