UCD vs Kerry Friday 19th June 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

UCD Kerry

UCD W W L L L W

Kerry W L D W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kerry	UCD	1 - 1	April 10, 2026
UCD	Kerry	2 - 1	February 13, 2026
UCD	Kerry	2 - 1	September 19, 2025
Kerry	UCD	0 - 3	July 25, 2025
UCD	Kerry	0 - 1	May 2, 2025
Kerry	UCD	0 - 1	March 28, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 12, 26	Away	Finn Harps	0 - 5	Win
May 29, 26	Home	Athlone Town	1 - 0	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Wexford	2 - 1	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Bray Wanderers	3 - 4	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Cork City	3 - 1	Loss
May 4, 26	Away	Cobh Ramblers	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 12, 26	Home	Athlone Town	1 - 0	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Cobh Ramblers	2 - 0	Loss
May 22, 26	Home	Bray Wanderers	2 - 2	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Wexford	2 - 1	Win
May 8, 26	Away	Finn Harps	1 - 0	Loss
May 4, 26	Home	Cork City	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	UCD	19	10	3	6	33	18	+15	33
8	Kerry	19	4	7	8	18	24	-6	19

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.38% likelihood that both UCD and Kerry will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

This prediction indicates that UCD has a 45.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.97 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

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