UCD vs Treaty United Monday 03rd August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

UCD Treaty United

UCD L L W L W W

Treaty United W W D L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Treaty United	UCD	0 - 3	April 24, 2026
UCD	Treaty United	2 - 0	February 27, 2026
Treaty United	UCD	1 - 0	September 5, 2025
UCD	Treaty United	1 - 1	July 4, 2025
Treaty United	UCD	4 - 0	May 16, 2025
UCD	Treaty United	0 - 0	March 21, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Bray Wanderers	6 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Longford Town	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Home	Cobh Ramblers	2 - 0	Win
Jun 19, 26	Home	Kerry	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Away	Finn Harps	0 - 5	Win
May 29, 26	Home	Athlone Town	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Finn Harps	0 - 1	Win
Jul 3, 26	Home	Kerry	2 - 1	Win
Jun 26, 26	Away	Wexford	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 19, 26	Away	Cork City	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Home	Bray Wanderers	2 - 2	Draw
May 29, 26	Away	Longford Town	3 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	UCD	22	11	3	8	36	21	+15	36
10	Treaty United	22	4	8	10	21	34	-13	20

This prediction indicates that UCD has a 54.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.29 %

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