UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal Sunday 13th September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Primera División

UCV Moquegua

Sept. 13, 2026 10 hours ago

1 – 2

Full Time

Sporting Cristal

Match Analysis

UCV Moquegua Sporting Cristal

UCV Moquegua L L W D L D

Sporting Cristal W L L W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

UCV Moquegua have had poor recent form and recent defensive struggles, while Sporting Cristal come in with moderate form and a clear quality gap in their favor. The model predicts an away win with a 57% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a good chance for both teams to score and for the match to exceed 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market's view on these points.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sporting Cristal	UCV Moquegua	1 - 2	April 3, 2026

UCV Moquegua Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Cusco	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Home	Alianza Atletico	1 - 4	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Sport Huancayo	0 - 2	Win
Aug 16, 26	Home	Sport Boys	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 9, 26	Away	Deportivo Garcilaso	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 2, 26	Home	FBC Melgar	0 - 0	Draw

Sporting Cristal Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 6, 26	Home	Cultural Santa Rosa	5 - 0	Win
Aug 30, 26	Away	Sport Boys	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 21, 26	Away	Alianza Atletico	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Home	Sport Huancayo	4 - 1	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	Universitario	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 2, 26	Home	Juan Pablo II College	2 - 0	Win

Primera División Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Sporting Cristal	25	9	5	11	43	38	+5	32
16	UCV Moquegua	25	6	7	12	23	35	-12	25

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.64% likelihood that both UCV Moquegua and Sporting Cristal will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Sporting Cristal to win

This prediction indicates that Sporting Cristal has a 57.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.25 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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