Uganda vs Libya Sunday 27th September 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Sept. 27, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Uganda Libya

Uganda L D L L W L

Libya D D W D D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Libya	Uganda	0 - 0	September 21, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Dec 30, 25	Home	Nigeria	1 - 3	Loss
Dec 27, 25	Home	Tanzania	1 - 1	Draw
Dec 23, 25	Away	Tunisia	3 - 1	Loss
Nov 18, 25	Away	Morocco	4 - 0	Loss
Nov 14, 25	Home	Chad	2 - 1	Win
Oct 14, 25	Away	Algeria	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Mar 31, 26	Away	Liberia	2 - 2	Draw
Mar 27, 26	Home	Niger	0 - 0	Draw
Nov 15, 25	Home	Mauritania	1 - 0	Win
Oct 13, 25	Away	Mauritius	0 - 0	Draw
Oct 8, 25	Home	Cape Verde Islands	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 8, 25	Home	Eswatini	2 - 0	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.4% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Uganda has a 40.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.73 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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