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Friendlies

June 5, 2026 3 weeks, 3 days ago
3 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Ukraine U21 USA U21
Ukraine U21 L W D
USA U21 W W L D
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Ukraine U21 Form (Last 3 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Nov 17, 25 Away Albania U21 2 - 0 Loss
Mar 22, 24 Home Morocco U23 1 - 0 Win
Jun 16, 23 Home Republic of Ireland U21 2 - 2 Draw

USA U21 Form (Last 4 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Mar 31, 26 Away Korea Republic U23 1 - 4 Win
Mar 27, 26 Away Japan U21 0 - 2 Win
Nov 18, 25 Away Serbia U21 1 - 0 Loss
Nov 14, 25 Away Denmark U21 1 - 1 Draw

Friendlies Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
42 USA U21 2 2 0 0 6 1 +5 6
230 Ukraine U21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Ukraine U21 to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ukraine U21 has a 36.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.18 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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