FKF Premier League
Match Analysis
Ulinzi Stars
Mara Sugar
Ulinzi Stars
W
W
W
L
D
W
Mara Sugar
L
D
L
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mara Sugar | Ulinzi Stars | 2 - 1 | February 22, 2026 |
| Ulinzi Stars | Mara Sugar | 1 - 2 | October 5, 2025 |
| Mara Sugar | Ulinzi Stars | 1 - 1 | May 4, 2025 |
| Ulinzi Stars | Mara Sugar | 1 - 0 | January 12, 2025 |
Ulinzi Stars Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Away | Posta Rangers FC | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 27, 26 | Home | Tusker | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Mathare United | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 13, 26 | Home | AFC Leopards | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Away | Shabana | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Bandari | 1 - 2 | Win |
Mara Sugar Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Away | Murang'a SEAL | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 27, 26 | Home | GOR Mahia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Mathare United | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Shabana | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Away | AFC Leopards | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 24, 26 | Away | Tusker | 0 - 1 | Win |
FKF Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Mara Sugar | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Ulinzi Stars | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.68% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Ulinzi Stars to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ulinzi Stars has a 40.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.11 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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