FKF Premier League
Match Analysis
Ulinzi Stars
Tusker
Ulinzi Stars
W
W
W
L
D
W
Tusker
W
D
D
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The two sides are closely matched in overall quality, but Ulinzi Stars have strong recent form while Tusker have poor recent form. The model predicts a draw with a 37% probability, which is roughly in line with what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model suggests that both sides are unlikely to score and that the game will likely finish with fewer than two goals, aligning with the typical tight defensive nature seen in recent meetings between these teams.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ulinzi Stars | Tusker | 2 - 0 | May 27, 2026 |
| Tusker | Ulinzi Stars | 1 - 0 | December 5, 2025 |
| Ulinzi Stars | Tusker | 0 - 1 | January 25, 2025 |
| Tusker | Ulinzi Stars | 1 - 1 | October 23, 2024 |
| Ulinzi Stars | Tusker | 0 - 1 | April 21, 2024 |
| Tusker | Ulinzi Stars | 0 - 1 | November 1, 2023 |
Ulinzi Stars Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Away | Posta Rangers FC | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 27, 26 | Home | Tusker | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Mathare United | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 13, 26 | Home | AFC Leopards | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Away | Shabana | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Bandari | 1 - 2 | Win |
Tusker Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Al Ahli Wad Medani | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Al Ahli Wad Medani | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Home | APS Bomet | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Ulinzi Stars | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Bandari | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Bidco United | 2 - 0 | Win |
FKF Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Tusker | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Ulinzi Stars | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.07% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Ulinzi Stars will score 0 goals, and Tusker will score 0 goals in the football match.Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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