Ulytau vs Kairat Almaty Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Ulytau Kairat Almaty

Ulytau L D W L L D

Kairat Almaty W W L W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kairat Almaty	Ulytau	1 - 1	May 10, 2026
Kairat Almaty	Ulytau	1 - 0	August 2, 2025
Ulytau	Kairat Almaty	1 - 4	May 3, 2025

Ulytau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Irtysh	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Zhenys	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Home	Kaisar	1 - 0	Win
Jul 5, 26	Away	Ordabasy	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Home	Ordabasy	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Kaisar	0 - 0	Draw

Kairat Almaty Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	Omonia Nicosia	1 - 0	Win
Jul 26, 26	Home	Ordabasy	2 - 1	Win
Jul 22, 26	Away	Omonia Nicosia	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Atyrau	1 - 3	Win
Jul 15, 26	Away	Sutjeska	0 - 2	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Sutjeska	2 - 1	Win

Premier League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Kairat Almaty	19	9	6	4	28	22	+6	33
7	Ulytau	19	7	6	6	16	18	-2	27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.68% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Kairat Almaty to win

This prediction indicates that Kairat Almaty has a 53.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.39 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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