Umeå FC vs Järfälla Sunday 28th June 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Umeå FC Järfälla

Umeå FC L W D D L D

Järfälla D L L L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Umeå FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Away	Enköping	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Home	Piteå	2 - 0	Win
Jun 7, 26	Away	Sollentuna	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Stocksund	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	IF Karlstad	0 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	FBK Karlstad	1 - 1	Draw

Järfälla Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 18, 26	Away	Hammarby Talang	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Arlanda	2 - 3	Loss
Jun 8, 26	Home	Stocksund	1 - 6	Loss
Jun 3, 26	Away	Vasalund	3 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	gefle IF	4 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Karlberg	1 - 3	Win

Ettan - Norra Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Umeå FC	13	4	4	5	19	21	-2	16
14	Järfälla	13	3	3	7	18	26	-8	12

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.68% likelihood that both Umeå FC and Järfälla will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Umeå FC to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Umeå FC has a 40.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.02 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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