União Santarém vs Oliveirense Friday 14th August 2026 10:30 PM football predictions.

União Santarém Oliveirense

União Santarém D L D D D L

Oliveirense L W D L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	Varzim	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Amarante	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	CF Os Belenenses	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	Academica	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Away	Guimaraes B	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Trofense	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	Felgueiras 1932	1 - 5	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Feirense	1 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Lusitânia Lourosa	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 27, 26	Away	Chaves	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 22, 26	Home	Benfica B	3 - 0	Win
Apr 12, 26	Away	Leixoes	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Oliveirense	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	União Santarém	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.71% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that União Santarém has a 43.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.94 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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