Paulista Série B
Match Analysis
Uniao Mogi
Itaquá Athletico Clube
Uniao Mogi
W
L
W
W
D
W
Itaquá Athletico Clube
W
W
L
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uniao Mogi | Itaquá Athletico Clube | 2 - 1 | June 20, 2026 |
| Itaquá Athletico Clube | Uniao Mogi | 4 - 1 | May 17, 2026 |
Uniao Mogi Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Maua | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Maua | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Itaquá Athletico Clube | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Mauaense | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Maua | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Manthiqueira | 1 - 0 | Win |
Itaquá Athletico Clube Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Paulínia FU | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | Paulínia FU | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | Uniao Mogi | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Maua | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Manthiqueira | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Barcelona EC | 1 - 0 | Win |
Paulista Série B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaquá Athletico Clube | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 7 | +20 | 31 |
| 7 | Uniao Mogi | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 20 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.16% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Itaquá Athletico Clube to win
This prediction indicates that Itaquá Athletico Clube has a 56.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.79 %Most Likely Scorelines
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