Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica Sunday 16th August 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Union Espanola San Marcos de Arica

Union Espanola L W D D L W

San Marcos de Arica D W L L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
San Marcos de Arica	Union Espanola	2 - 0	March 28, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 26	Away	Magallanes	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 27, 26	Home	Recoleta	2 - 1	Win
Jun 8, 26	Home	Union San Felipe	2 - 2	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Santiago Wanderers	2 - 2	Draw
May 26, 26	Away	Deportes Copiapo	3 - 1	Loss
May 18, 26	Home	Deportes Iquique	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Deportes Iquique	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Home	Magallanes	2 - 0	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	San Luis	1 - 0	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Deportes Temuco	0 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	D. Puerto Montt	0 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Antofagasta	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	San Marcos de Arica	17	7	8	2	22	12	+10	29
7	Union Espanola	16	7	4	5	23	20	+3	25

This prediction indicates that Union Espanola has a 37.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.14 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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