Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa Sunday 16th August 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Union San Felipe Cobreloa

Union San Felipe L L D W L W

Cobreloa W D W D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cobreloa	Union San Felipe	2 - 0	March 29, 2026
Union San Felipe	Cobreloa	3 - 0	July 12, 2025
Cobreloa	Union San Felipe	1 - 1	February 23, 2025
Cobreloa	Union San Felipe	1 - 0	September 24, 2023
Union San Felipe	Cobreloa	2 - 2	May 17, 2023
Cobreloa	Union San Felipe	1 - 0	September 26, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Antofagasta	5 - 1	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Santiago Wanderers	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 8, 26	Away	Union Espanola	2 - 2	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	D. Puerto Montt	1 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Deportes Temuco	5 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Rangers de Talca	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Deportes Santa Cruz	4 - 2	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	D. Puerto Montt	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Rangers de Talca	2 - 0	Win
May 21, 26	Away	Recoleta	2 - 2	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Deportes Copiapo	4 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Santiago Wanderers	5 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cobreloa	16	9	5	2	34	19	+15	32
14	Union San Felipe	16	4	4	8	13	29	-16	16

This prediction indicates that Cobreloa has a 58.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.63 %

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