Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo

Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Unionistas de Salamanca logo Unionistas de Salamanca
Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS
UD Ourense logo UD Ourense

Match Analysis

Unionistas de Salamanca UD Ourense
Unionistas de Salamanca L L W W W W
UD Ourense L L D L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Unionistas de Salamanca Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Real Unión 2 - 4 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Home Lugo 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Guijuelo 4 - 1 Win
Aug 21, 26 Home Cacereño 1 - 0 Win
Aug 18, 26 Home Alcorcon 1 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Gimnástica Segoviana 0 - 1 Win

UD Ourense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Mirandes 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Home Ponferradina 0 - 1 Loss
Oct 29, 25 Home Pontevedra 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 13, 25 Home Celta de Vigo II 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 14, 24 Home Celta de Vigo II 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 24, 22 Home Compostela 1 - 2 Loss

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
15 UD Ourense 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
19 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.76% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Unionistas de Salamanca to win
This prediction indicates that Unionistas de Salamanca has a 45.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.69 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Primera División RFEF - Group 1

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