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July 5, 2026 5 days, 18 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Universidad Catolica Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica L W D L L L
Mushuc Runa SC D D L L L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Mushuc Runa SC Universidad Catolica 0 - 0 March 1, 2026
Mushuc Runa SC Universidad Catolica 1 - 1 July 5, 2025
Universidad Catolica Mushuc Runa SC 1 - 1 March 9, 2025
Universidad Catolica Mushuc Runa SC 5 - 1 August 31, 2024
Mushuc Runa SC Universidad Catolica 2 - 1 May 22, 2024
Mushuc Runa SC Universidad Catolica 0 - 2 November 25, 2023

Universidad Catolica Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Emelec 1 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Orense SC 1 - 2 Win
May 16, 26 Home Delfin SC 2 - 2 Draw
May 9, 26 Away Aucas 2 - 1 Loss
May 1, 26 Home Independiente del Valle 2 - 3 Loss
Apr 27, 26 Away Manta FC 1 - 0 Loss

Mushuc Runa SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Aucas 0 - 0 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Guayaquil City FC 2 - 2 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Leones del Norte 3 - 1 Loss
May 12, 26 Home LDU de Quito 1 - 3 Loss
May 3, 26 Away Delfin SC 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home Deportivo Cuenca 4 - 1 Win

Liga Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Universidad Catolica 16 7 5 4 26 14 +12 26
11 Mushuc Runa SC 16 4 6 6 19 21 -2 18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Universidad Catolica to win
This prediction indicates that Universidad Catolica has a 45.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.08 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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