Primera División
Match Analysis
Universidad de Concepcion
A. Italiano
Universidad de Concepcion
L
D
D
W
L
L
A. Italiano
D
D
L
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Italiano | Universidad de Concepcion | 3 - 0 | February 6, 2026 |
| Universidad de Concepcion | A. Italiano | 3 - 1 | December 12, 2020 |
| A. Italiano | Universidad de Concepcion | 1 - 1 | March 15, 2020 |
| Universidad de Concepcion | A. Italiano | 1 - 0 | April 6, 2019 |
| A. Italiano | Universidad de Concepcion | 4 - 1 | July 29, 2018 |
| Universidad de Concepcion | A. Italiano | 1 - 0 | April 7, 2018 |
Universidad de Concepcion Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | U. Catolica | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Union La Calera | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Nublense | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Away | O'Higgins | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | Colo Colo | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Deportes Limache | 3 - 0 | Loss |
A. Italiano Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | D. La Serena | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 1, 26 | Away | Palestino | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Olimpia | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Cobresal | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 19, 26 | Home | Barracas Central | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Coquimbo Unido | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Universidad de Concepcion | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 19 |
| 15 | A. Italiano | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
Predictions
Universidad de Concepcion to win
This prediction indicates that Universidad de Concepcion has a 43.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.71 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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