Primera División
Match Analysis
Universidad de Concepcion
Huachipato
Universidad de Concepcion
L
L
W
L
L
L
Huachipato
W
D
L
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Huachipato has had the upper hand in matches between these two teams, though those games have usually been tight and low-scoring. Despite this head-to-head trend, the model predicts a home win with a 44% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds suggest. The model also sees a good chance of both teams scoring and for the match to exceed 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market's view on these points, especially for over 1.5 goals. Both teams are in poor form recently, and Huachipato has had more shooting opportunities, but this isn't enough to sway the model away from predicting a home advantage.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huachipato | Universidad de Concepcion | 5 - 1 | April 7, 2026 |
| Universidad de Concepcion | Huachipato | 0 - 1 | November 23, 2020 |
| Huachipato | Universidad de Concepcion | 1 - 1 | February 8, 2020 |
| Universidad de Concepcion | Huachipato | 1 - 1 | August 18, 2019 |
| Huachipato | Universidad de Concepcion | 1 - 0 | May 19, 2019 |
| Universidad de Concepcion | Huachipato | 1 - 0 | August 5, 2018 |
Universidad de Concepcion Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Palestino | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 2, 26 | Away | Coquimbo Unido | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Universidad de Chile | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | Everton de Vina | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | D. La Serena | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Concepción | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Huachipato Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 26 | Away | Coquimbo Unido | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Colo Colo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Deportes Limache | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Palestino | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Everton de Vina | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Universidad de Chile | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Huachipato | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 25 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.6% likelihood that both Universidad de Concepcion and Huachipato will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Universidad de Concepcion to win
This prediction indicates that Universidad de Concepcion has a 42.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.78 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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