Primera División
Match Analysis
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
Universidad de Concepcion
D
W
L
L
W
L
Union La Calera
L
L
L
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union La Calera | Universidad de Concepcion | 1 - 2 | January 11, 2021 |
| Universidad de Concepcion | Union La Calera | 2 - 1 | September 8, 2020 |
| Union La Calera | Universidad de Concepcion | 3 - 1 | March 29, 2019 |
| Universidad de Concepcion | Union La Calera | 2 - 1 | September 1, 2018 |
| Union La Calera | Universidad de Concepcion | 1 - 3 | April 13, 2018 |
Universidad de Concepcion Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 26 | Away | Nublense | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Away | O'Higgins | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | Colo Colo | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Deportes Limache | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 13, 26 | Home | Cobresal | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 7, 26 | Away | Huachipato | 5 - 1 | Loss |
Union La Calera Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Home | Palestino | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Huachipato | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 24, 26 | Home | Coquimbo Unido | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 21, 26 | Away | U. Catolica | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 14, 26 | Home | Concepción | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 4, 26 | Away | Deportes Limache | 4 - 0 | Loss |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Universidad de Concepcion | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 18 |
| 13 | Union La Calera | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Universidad de Concepcion to win
This prediction indicates that Universidad de Concepcion has a 45.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.22 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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