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Segunda División logo

Segunda División

June 27, 2026 2 days, 5 hours ago
3 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Uruguay Montevideo Fenix
Uruguay Montevideo L L L W L D
Fenix D D W D D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Uruguay Montevideo Fenix 1 - 1 March 15, 2026
Uruguay Montevideo Fenix 0 - 1 August 24, 2025
Fenix Uruguay Montevideo 2 - 0 June 4, 2025

Uruguay Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Away Rentistas 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Miramar 1 - 3 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Away Tacuarembo 1 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Plaza Colonia 2 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away La Luz 2 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Cerrito 2 - 2 Draw

Fenix Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Oriental 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Away Colón 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Home CA River Plate 3 - 1 Win
May 31, 26 Home Rentistas 1 - 1 Draw
May 25, 26 Away Miramar 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Tacuarembo 1 - 2 Loss

Segunda División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fenix 14 6 6 2 24 15 +9 24
13 Uruguay Montevideo 13 3 4 6 13 16 -3 13

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.27% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Fenix to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Fenix has a 42.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.34 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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