Uruguay Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia Saturday 30th May 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Uruguay Montevideo Plaza Colonia

Uruguay Montevideo L D L D W L

Plaza Colonia W W L W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Uruguay Montevideo	Plaza Colonia	3 - 0	September 20, 2024
Plaza Colonia	Uruguay Montevideo	0 - 1	June 5, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	La Luz	2 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Cerrito	2 - 2	Draw
May 8, 26	Away	Atenas	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Tacuarembo	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Away	La Luz	0 - 2	Win
Apr 6, 26	Away	Cerrito	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 22, 26	Home	Oriental	3 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Colón	0 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Fenix	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Home	Oriental	2 - 0	Win
Apr 17, 26	Home	Paysandu	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 4, 26	Away	Colón	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Plaza Colonia	9	5	3	1	13	4	+9	18
10	Uruguay Montevideo	9	2	4	3	10	11	-1	10

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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