Friendlies
Match Analysis
USA
Mexico
USA
L
W
L
W
W
L
Mexico
L
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | Mexico | 1 - 2 | July 6, 2025 |
| Mexico | USA | 2 - 0 | October 16, 2024 |
| USA | Mexico | 1 - 1 | April 20, 2023 |
| USA | Mexico | 0 - 0 | August 2, 2021 |
| USA | Mexico | 0 - 3 | September 7, 2019 |
| Mexico | USA | 1 - 0 | July 8, 2019 |
USA Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 26 | Home | Belgium | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 2, 26 | Home | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Türkiye | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 19, 26 | Home | Australia | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | Paraguay | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Germany | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Mexico Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | England | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Ecuador | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 25, 26 | Away | Czech Republic | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 19, 26 | Home | South Korea | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 11, 26 | Home | South Africa | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 5, 26 | Home | Serbia | 5 - 1 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.19% likelihood that both USA and Mexico will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.USA or Mexico to win
This prediction indicates that Mexico has a 37.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.62 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments