Primera División
Match Analysis
UTC
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC
L
D
L
D
D
L
Comerciantes Unidos
W
L
D
D
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Comerciantes Unidos | UTC | 1 - 2 | March 7, 2026 |
| UTC | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 - 1 | January 25, 2026 |
| Comerciantes Unidos | UTC | 0 - 1 | January 21, 2026 |
| Comerciantes Unidos | UTC | 2 - 1 | October 3, 2025 |
| UTC | Comerciantes Unidos | 2 - 0 | May 17, 2025 |
| Comerciantes Unidos | UTC | 1 - 1 | August 15, 2024 |
UTC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Cusco | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | UCV Moquegua | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Atletico Grau | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Cultural Santa Rosa | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Sport Boys | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Deportivo Garcilaso | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Comerciantes Unidos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Cusco | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Cultural Santa Rosa | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Alianza Lima | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | UCV Moquegua | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Sport Boys | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 25, 26 | Home | Deportivo Garcilaso | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 23 |
| 17 | UTC | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 19 |
Predictions
UTC to win
This prediction indicates that UTC has a 42.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.81 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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