Primera División
Match Analysis
UTC
Juan Pablo II College
UTC
L
L
D
L
D
L
Juan Pablo II College
W
L
D
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Pablo II College | UTC | 2 - 1 | April 5, 2026 |
| UTC | Juan Pablo II College | 0 - 0 | August 16, 2025 |
| Juan Pablo II College | UTC | 4 - 2 | March 30, 2025 |
UTC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Alianza Lima | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | ADT | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Cusco | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | UCV Moquegua | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Atletico Grau | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Juan Pablo II College Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | ADT | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Cusco | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Atletico Grau | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Sporting Cristal | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Cienciano | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | FC Cajamarca | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Juan Pablo II College | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 24 |
| 18 | UTC | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 20 |
Predictions
UTC to win
This prediction indicates that UTC has a 42.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.76 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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