Uxbridge vs Farnborough Saturday 19th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Uxbridge Farnborough

Uxbridge W L W L D W

Farnborough L L W D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Haywards Heath Town	3 - 0	Win
Aug 30, 25	Home	Welling United	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 22, 25	Home	Hendon	2 - 0	Win
Aug 20, 24	Home	Ashford Town (Middlesex)	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 17, 24	Away	Ashford Town (Middlesex)	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 3, 24	Away	Cobham	3 - 4	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Away	Hampton & Richmond	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Tonbridge Angels	0 - 4	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Away	Braintree	0 - 2	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Maidenhead	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 19, 26	Home	Chesham United	1 - 0	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Hemel Hempstead Town	0 - 2	Loss

This prediction indicates that Uxbridge has a 46.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.58 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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