V-varen Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock Saturday 30th May 2026 11:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

V-varen Nagasaki Mito Hollyhock

V-varen Nagasaki L D L W L W

Mito Hollyhock L L L L D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
V-varen Nagasaki	Mito Hollyhock	2 - 1	November 23, 2025
Mito Hollyhock	V-varen Nagasaki	3 - 0	May 31, 2025
V-varen Nagasaki	Mito Hollyhock	1 - 2	August 3, 2024
Mito Hollyhock	V-varen Nagasaki	2 - 3	June 2, 2024
Mito Hollyhock	V-varen Nagasaki	3 - 3	August 12, 2023
V-varen Nagasaki	Mito Hollyhock	4 - 0	May 3, 2023

V-varen Nagasaki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Vissel Kobe	2 - 2	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Cerezo Osaka	3 - 2	Loss
May 6, 26	Home	Fagiano Okayama	2 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Nagoya Grampus	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 29, 26	Away	Shimizu S-pulse	1 - 2	Win

Mito Hollyhock Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Kawasaki Frontale	1 - 3	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Tokyo Verdy	0 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Urawa	1 - 4	Loss
May 6, 26	Away	Kashima	3 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Yokohama F. Marinos	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 29, 26	Home	Machida Zelvia	2 - 2	Draw

J1 League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
16	V-varen Nagasaki	18	6	2	10	20	28	-8	20
19	Mito Hollyhock	18	2	8	8	19	35	-16	14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.92% likelihood that both V-varen Nagasaki and Mito Hollyhock will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

V-varen Nagasaki to win

This prediction indicates that V-varen Nagasaki has a 42.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.77 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply