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Úrvalsdeild

Aug. 16, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Valur Reykjavik KA Akureyri
Valur Reykjavik D W L W L W
KA Akureyri D D W L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
KA Akureyri Valur Reykjavik 0 - 1 May 22, 2026
KA Akureyri Valur Reykjavik 2 - 5 June 27, 2025
Valur Reykjavik KA Akureyri 3 - 1 April 23, 2025
KA Akureyri Valur Reykjavik 1 - 0 August 6, 2024
Valur Reykjavik KA Akureyri 3 - 1 May 11, 2024
Valur Reykjavik KA Akureyri 4 - 2 August 7, 2023

Valur Reykjavik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 30, 26 Away Zrinjski 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 23, 26 Home Zrinjski 1 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Fram Reykjavik 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Home FH hafnarfjordur 2 - 0 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 28, 26 Away Thor Akureyri 2 - 4 Win

KA Akureyri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 27, 26 Home Thor Akureyri 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 19, 26 Away IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 12, 26 Home IA Akranes 3 - 2 Win
Jul 2, 26 Away Vikingur Reykjavik 3 - 2 Loss
Jun 28, 26 Away Stjarnan 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Away Breidablik 3 - 1 Loss

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Valur Reykjavik 16 6 1 9 25 33 -8 19
9 KA Akureyri 16 4 3 9 24 32 -8 15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.67% likelihood that both Valur Reykjavik and KA Akureyri will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Valur Reykjavik to win
This prediction indicates that Valur Reykjavik has a 49.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.74 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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