Vancouver FC vs York United Sunday 05th July 2026 01:00 AM football predictions.

Vancouver FC York United

Vancouver FC W W L D L W

York United L L L D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
York United	Vancouver FC	1 - 0	April 19, 2026
Vancouver FC	York United	2 - 1	September 21, 2025
York United	Vancouver FC	4 - 0	July 19, 2025
York United	Vancouver FC	1 - 0	May 25, 2025
Vancouver FC	York United	0 - 2	April 6, 2025
Vancouver FC	York United	0 - 1	September 7, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Home	Pacific FC	2 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Home	Atlético Ottawa	2 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Away	HFX Wanderers FC	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Supra du Quebec	1 - 1	Draw
May 18, 26	Home	Cavalry FC	0 - 2	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Pacific FC	1 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 10, 26	Home	Cavalry FC	1 - 5	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Home	Forge	1 - 4	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	Supra du Quebec	3 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	HFX Wanderers FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Pacific FC	0 - 1	Win
May 1, 26	Home	Atlético Ottawa	4 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	York United	9	3	3	3	13	17	-4	12
6	Vancouver FC	10	3	2	5	9	11	-2	11

This prediction indicates that York United has a 39.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.00 %

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