Friendlies
Match Analysis
Vanuatu
New Caledonia
Vanuatu
D
W
D
W
W
D
New Caledonia
W
L
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Caledonia | Vanuatu | 4 - 0 | October 8, 2023 |
| Vanuatu | New Caledonia | 2 - 2 | November 17, 2018 |
| Vanuatu | New Caledonia | 2 - 1 | December 2, 2017 |
Vanuatu Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 26 | Home | Fiji | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Fiji | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Nov 23, 25 | Away | Papua New Guinea | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Nov 20, 25 | Home | Solomon Islands | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Nov 17, 25 | Home | Fiji | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Nov 11, 25 | Away | Papua New Guinea U20 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
New Caledonia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 25 | Away | Gibraltar | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Oct 14, 23 | Away | Solomon Islands | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Oct 11, 23 | Away | Papua New Guinea | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Oct 8, 23 | Home | Vanuatu | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Mar 24, 23 | Away | Tahiti | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Mar 21, 23 | Away | Tahiti | 0 - 2 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.76% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Vanuatu to win
This prediction indicates that Vanuatu has a 42.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.25 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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