Meistriliiga
Match Analysis
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
L
L
D
L
W
L
Laagri
W
L
L
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laagri | Vaprus | 1 - 2 | May 16, 2026 |
| Vaprus | Laagri | 0 - 2 | April 4, 2026 |
| Laagri | Vaprus | 1 - 2 | September 27, 2025 |
| Vaprus | Laagri | 2 - 2 | July 25, 2025 |
| Laagri | Vaprus | 0 - 1 | April 26, 2025 |
| Vaprus | Laagri | 1 - 1 | April 5, 2025 |
Vaprus Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Flora Tallinn | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Kalju Nomme | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | FC Levadia Tallinn | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Trans Narva | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Tammeka | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Paide | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Laagri Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Kalju Nomme | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | FC Levadia Tallinn | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Kuressaare | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Flora Tallinn | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Paide | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Trans Narva | 3 - 0 | Win |
Meistriliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Laagri | 24 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 34 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 33 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.4% likelihood that both Vaprus and Laagri will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Vaprus to win
This prediction indicates that Vaprus has a 46.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.69 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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