Vaprus vs Tammeka Saturday 11th July 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Vaprus Tammeka

Vaprus W L D W W W

Tammeka W W D W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tammeka	Vaprus	0 - 0	June 13, 2026
Vaprus	Tammeka	0 - 0	April 18, 2026
Tammeka	Vaprus	1 - 4	September 16, 2025
Vaprus	Tammeka	8 - 1	August 15, 2025
Vaprus	Tammeka	2 - 1	May 17, 2025
Tammeka	Vaprus	0 - 5	March 29, 2025

Vaprus Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Home	Kuressaare	1 - 0	Win
Jun 16, 26	Home	Flora Tallinn	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	Tammeka	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Kalju Nomme	3 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	FC Levadia Tallinn	1 - 6	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Laagri	1 - 2	Win

Tammeka Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Home	Trans Narva	1 - 0	Win
Jun 17, 26	Away	Kalju Nomme	1 - 2	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	Vaprus	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	FC Levadia Tallinn	0 - 1	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Nõmme United	3 - 1	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Kuressaare	1 - 0	Win

Meistriliiga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Vaprus	17	9	2	6	27	25	+2	29
6	Tammeka	16	8	2	6	19	19	0	26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.01% likelihood that both Vaprus and Tammeka will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Vaprus to win

This prediction indicates that Vaprus has a 43.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.20 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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