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Meistriliiga

July 11, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Vaprus Tammeka
Vaprus W L D W W W
Tammeka W W D W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tammeka Vaprus 0 - 0 June 13, 2026
Vaprus Tammeka 0 - 0 April 18, 2026
Tammeka Vaprus 1 - 4 September 16, 2025
Vaprus Tammeka 8 - 1 August 15, 2025
Vaprus Tammeka 2 - 1 May 17, 2025
Tammeka Vaprus 0 - 5 March 29, 2025

Vaprus Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 26, 26 Home Kuressaare 1 - 0 Win
Jun 16, 26 Home Flora Tallinn 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Tammeka 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Kalju Nomme 3 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Away FC Levadia Tallinn 1 - 6 Win
May 16, 26 Away Laagri 1 - 2 Win

Tammeka Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Home Trans Narva 1 - 0 Win
Jun 17, 26 Away Kalju Nomme 1 - 2 Win
Jun 13, 26 Home Vaprus 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Away FC Levadia Tallinn 0 - 1 Win
May 15, 26 Home Nõmme United 3 - 1 Win
May 8, 26 Home Kuressaare 1 - 0 Win

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Vaprus 17 9 2 6 27 25 +2 29
6 Tammeka 16 8 2 6 19 19 0 26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.01% likelihood that both Vaprus and Tammeka will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Vaprus to win
This prediction indicates that Vaprus has a 43.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.20 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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