Vardar Skopje vs Riga Thursday 23rd July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Vardar Skopje Riga

Vardar Skopje W L W D W L

Riga W L W W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Vardar Skopje Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Away	KuPS	0 - 2	Win
Jul 7, 26	Home	KuPS	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 30, 26	Away	Virtus	2 - 3	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	La Fiorita	1 - 1	Draw
Feb 7, 26	Away	Osogovo	1 - 4	Win
Feb 2, 26	Away	Alashkert	3 - 0	Loss

Riga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Home	Ararat-Armenia	3 - 2	Win
Jul 7, 26	Away	Ararat-Armenia	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Home	FS Jelgava	3 - 0	Win
Jun 29, 26	Away	Auda	0 - 2	Win
Jun 25, 26	Away	BFC Daugavpils	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Home	FK Liepaja	4 - 0	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.13% likelihood that both Vardar Skopje and Riga will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Riga to win

This prediction indicates that Riga has a 53.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.51 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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