Varzim vs AD Marco 09 Sunday 16th August 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Varzim AD Marco 09

Varzim W L D L L D

AD Marco 09 D L D W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
AD Marco 09	Varzim	1 - 3	January 25, 2026
Varzim	AD Marco 09	2 - 1	November 1, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Away	Tirsense	0 - 1	Win
Jul 15, 26	Away	Tondela	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	União Santarém	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	CF Os Belenenses	1 - 2	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Academica	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Guimaraes B	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Cinfães	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 15, 26	Away	União de Leiria	2 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Paredes	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	SC Braga B	1 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Fafe	1 - 0	Win
Apr 12, 26	Away	São João Ver	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	AD Marco 09	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Varzim	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.7% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Varzim has a 48.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.97 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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