Ettan - Norra
Match Analysis
Vasalund
Arlanda
Vasalund
D
L
L
L
W
D
Arlanda
W
L
L
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arlanda | Vasalund | 2 - 1 | April 3, 2026 |
| Vasalund | Arlanda | 3 - 2 | January 25, 2026 |
| Arlanda | Vasalund | 4 - 1 | October 26, 2025 |
| Vasalund | Arlanda | 0 - 0 | April 27, 2025 |
Vasalund Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 26 | Home | Hammarby Talang | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | FBK Karlstad | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Enköping | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Umeå FC | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Stocksund | 4 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Piteå | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Arlanda Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 26 | Away | gefle IF | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Karlberg | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Umeå FC | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Stocksund | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | FBK Karlstad | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Stockholm Internazionale | 4 - 1 | Loss |
Ettan - Norra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arlanda | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 25 | +11 | 39 |
| 12 | Vasalund | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 24 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.76% likelihood that both Vasalund and Arlanda will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Arlanda to win
This prediction indicates that Arlanda has a 44.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.01 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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