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Serie A logo

Serie A

May 31, 2026 4 weeks ago
0 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Vasco DA Gama Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama W L L L W W
Atletico-MG W L W W D D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Atletico-MG Vasco DA Gama 5 - 0 December 7, 2025
Vasco DA Gama Atletico-MG 1 - 1 August 10, 2025
Vasco DA Gama Atletico-MG 2 - 0 December 4, 2024
Atletico-MG Vasco DA Gama 2 - 0 July 21, 2024
Vasco DA Gama Atletico-MG 1 - 0 August 20, 2023
Atletico-MG Vasco DA Gama 1 - 2 April 16, 2023

Vasco DA Gama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 27, 26 Home Barracas Central 3 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Home RB Bragantino 0 - 3 Loss
May 20, 26 Away Olimpia 3 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Internacional 4 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Atletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Win
May 6, 26 Away A. Italiano 1 - 2 Win

Atletico-MG Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 27, 26 Home Puerto Cabello 1 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away Corinthians 1 - 0 Loss
May 21, 26 Home Cienciano 2 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Home Mirassol 3 - 1 Win
May 10, 26 Home Botafogo 1 - 1 Draw
May 5, 26 Away Juventud 2 - 2 Draw

Serie A Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
14 Atletico-MG 17 6 3 8 21 23 -2 21
17 Vasco DA Gama 17 5 5 7 22 28 -6 20

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.8% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Atletico-MG to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Atletico-MG has a 38.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.25 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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