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CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Aug. 12, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Vasco DA Gama Olimpia
Vasco DA Gama W D D L L W
Olimpia L L L W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Olimpia Vasco DA Gama 3 - 1 May 20, 2026
Vasco DA Gama Olimpia 3 - 0 April 30, 2026

Vasco DA Gama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 29, 26 Home Independiente Medellin 1 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Mirassol 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 22, 26 Away Independiente Medellin 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 16, 26 Away Vitoria 1 - 0 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Atletico-MG 0 - 1 Loss
May 27, 26 Home Barracas Central 3 - 0 Win

Olimpia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 29, 26 Away Nacional Asuncion 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Libertad Asuncion 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Flamengo 4 - 2 Loss
May 27, 26 Home A. Italiano 3 - 1 Win
May 23, 26 Away Sportivo Luqueno 1 - 2 Win
May 20, 26 Home Vasco DA Gama 3 - 1 Win

Predictions

Vasco DA Gama to win
This prediction indicates that Vasco DA Gama has a 41.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.82 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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