Vasco DA Gama vs Santos Sunday 16th August 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Vasco DA Gama Santos

Vasco DA Gama W D D L L W

Santos W D W L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Santos	Vasco DA Gama	2 - 1	February 26, 2026
Santos	Vasco DA Gama	0 - 6	August 17, 2025
Vasco DA Gama	Santos	2 - 1	March 30, 2025
Santos	Vasco DA Gama	4 - 1	October 1, 2023
Vasco DA Gama	Santos	0 - 1	May 14, 2023
Vasco DA Gama	Santos	1 - 0	December 20, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	Independiente Medellin	1 - 0	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Mirassol	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Away	Independiente Medellin	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 16, 26	Away	Vitoria	1 - 0	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Atletico-MG	0 - 1	Loss
May 27, 26	Home	Barracas Central	3 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	UCV	4 - 2	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Chapecoense-sc	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Away	UCV	1 - 4	Win
Jul 16, 26	Away	Botafogo	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	União São João	3 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Vitoria	3 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
15	Santos	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4	22
18	Vasco DA Gama	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8	21

This prediction indicates that Vasco DA Gama has a 40.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.06 %

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply