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J2 League

Aug. 15, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Vegalta Sendai Oita Trinita
Vegalta Sendai L D W L W D
Oita Trinita W D D L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Oita Trinita Vegalta Sendai 0 - 0 October 19, 2025
Vegalta Sendai Oita Trinita 2 - 0 March 1, 2025
Vegalta Sendai Oita Trinita 2 - 1 November 10, 2024
Oita Trinita Vegalta Sendai 1 - 1 February 25, 2024
Oita Trinita Vegalta Sendai 2 - 3 August 26, 2023
Vegalta Sendai Oita Trinita 1 - 0 April 29, 2023

Vegalta Sendai Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 15, 26 Away Kashima 5 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Kataller Toyama 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Ventforet Kofu 1 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Home Yokohama FC 0 - 3 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Shonan Bellmare 0 - 2 Win
May 10, 26 Away Vanraure Hachinohe 1 - 1 Draw

Oita Trinita Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Home Montedio Yamagata 1 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Away Nara Club 3 - 3 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Gainare Tottori 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1 - 2 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Sagan Tosu 0 - 1 Loss
May 6, 26 Away Kagoshima United 0 - 1 Win

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Vegalta Sendai 20 12 6 2 34 16 +18 42
27 Oita Trinita 19 6 4 9 21 21 0 22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.41% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Vegalta Sendai to win
This prediction indicates that Vegalta Sendai has a 65.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.01 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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