Premijer Liga
Match Analysis
Velež
FK Sarajevo
Velež
L
W
L
L
L
L
FK Sarajevo
W
D
L
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Velež | FK Sarajevo | 2 - 3 | May 21, 2026 |
| FK Sarajevo | Velež | 1 - 0 | March 22, 2026 |
| Velež | FK Sarajevo | 0 - 0 | December 2, 2025 |
| FK Sarajevo | Velež | 2 - 0 | September 20, 2025 |
| Velež | FK Sarajevo | 2 - 2 | May 18, 2025 |
| Velež | FK Sarajevo | 0 - 0 | March 8, 2025 |
Velež Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Čelik | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Sloga Doboj | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | BSK Banja Luka | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Borac Banja Luka | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Dunajska Streda | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Dunajska Streda | 1 - 0 | Loss |
FK Sarajevo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | BSK Banja Luka | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Radnik Bijeljina | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Inter Turku | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | Inter Turku | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Zrinjski | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 1, 26 | Away | Sutjeska | 1 - 2 | Win |
Premijer Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FK Sarajevo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | Velež | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.76% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.FK Sarajevo to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that FK Sarajevo has a 40.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.28 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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