First League
Match Analysis
Veles
Arsenal Tula
Veles
W
L
W
W
D
L
Arsenal Tula
W
L
L
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tula | Veles | 1 - 1 | May 6, 2023 |
| Veles | Arsenal Tula | 1 - 0 | October 16, 2022 |
| Veles | Arsenal Tula | 1 - 1 | October 27, 2021 |
Veles Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Rotor Volgograd | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Enisey | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Chelyabinsk | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | FK Neftekhimik | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Ska-khabarovsk | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 2, 26 | Home | Volga Ulyanovsk | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Arsenal Tula Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Torpedo Moskva | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | PFC Sochi | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | FK Neftekhimik | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 13, 26 | Home | Tekstilshchik | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | CSKA Moscow | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | PFC Sochi | 3 - 3 | Draw |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Veles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 6 |
Predictions
Veles or Arsenal Tula to win
This prediction indicates that Veles has a 39.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.57 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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