Velez Sarsfield vs Defensa Y Justicia Sunday 16th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Velez Sarsfield Defensa Y Justicia

Velez Sarsfield W W L D W D

Defensa Y Justicia L W D L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Defensa Y Justicia	Velez Sarsfield	1 - 1	February 14, 2026
Velez Sarsfield	Defensa Y Justicia	3 - 0	August 3, 2024
Defensa Y Justicia	Velez Sarsfield	0 - 0	March 30, 2023
Defensa Y Justicia	Velez Sarsfield	1 - 1	June 25, 2022
Velez Sarsfield	Defensa Y Justicia	0 - 0	July 28, 2021
Defensa Y Justicia	Velez Sarsfield	1 - 1	March 28, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Away	Talleres Cordoba	1 - 3	Win
Jul 24, 26	Home	Instituto Cordoba	1 - 0	Win
May 11, 26	Home	Gimnasia L.P.	0 - 1	Loss
May 4, 26	Home	Newells Old Boys	1 - 1	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	Gimnasia Y Tiro	2 - 0	Win
Apr 27, 26	Home	Union Santa Fe	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Estudiantes L.P.	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 29, 26	Home	Deportivo Riestra	2 - 1	Win
Jul 24, 26	Home	Aldosivi	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 16, 26	Away	Racing Club	4 - 1	Loss
May 4, 26	Away	Gimnasia M.	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 23, 26	Home	Boca Juniors	0 - 4	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Velez Sarsfield	19	9	7	3	22	14	+8	34
19	Defensa Y Justicia	18	5	8	5	21	23	-2	23

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.16% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Velez Sarsfield has a 55.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.91 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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