Liga Profesional Argentina
Match Analysis
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
L
D
W
D
D
W
Independiente
L
W
L
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente | Velez Sarsfield | 1 - 1 | January 31, 2026 |
| Velez Sarsfield | Independiente | 2 - 1 | August 16, 2025 |
| Independiente | Velez Sarsfield | 3 - 0 | February 12, 2025 |
| Velez Sarsfield | Independiente | 1 - 0 | September 27, 2024 |
| Independiente | Velez Sarsfield | 1 - 1 | May 26, 2024 |
| Velez Sarsfield | Independiente | 0 - 0 | February 12, 2023 |
Velez Sarsfield Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 26 | Home | Gimnasia L.P. | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 4, 26 | Home | Newells Old Boys | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 1, 26 | Home | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 27, 26 | Home | Union Santa Fe | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 20, 26 | Away | San Lorenzo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 14, 26 | Home | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 1 - 0 | Win |
Independiente Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 26 | Away | Racing Club | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 22, 26 | Away | Union Santa Fe | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 21, 26 | Home | Botafogo | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Rosario Central | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 5, 26 | Home | Caracas FC | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Away | San Lorenzo | 1 - 2 | Win |
Liga Profesional Argentina Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Velez Sarsfield | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 28 |
| 14 | Independiente | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 24 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Velez Sarsfield to win
This prediction indicates that Velez Sarsfield has a 48.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.87 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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