Velež vs Dunajska Streda Thursday 30th July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Velež Dunajska Streda

Velež W D L L W D

Dunajska Streda W L D D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Away	Milsami Orhei	0 - 1	Win
Jul 9, 26	Home	Milsami Orhei	1 - 1	Draw
May 26, 26	Away	Zrinjski	3 - 0	Loss
May 21, 26	Home	FK Sarajevo	2 - 3	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Rudar Prijedor	4 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Posušje	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Home	Bolton	2 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Hapoel Tel Aviv	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Away	Austria Vienna	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Widzew Łódź	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Home	TSC Backa Topola	2 - 1	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Šamorín	2 - 3	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.45% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Velež has a 35.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.30 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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