Verl vs MSV Duisburg Saturday 15th August 2026 05:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Verl MSV Duisburg

Verl W L L W L W

MSV Duisburg D L W W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
MSV Duisburg	Verl	4 - 2	February 8, 2026
Verl	MSV Duisburg	2 - 3	August 30, 2025
Verl	MSV Duisburg	1 - 3	February 10, 2024
MSV Duisburg	Verl	2 - 3	September 15, 2023
MSV Duisburg	Verl	3 - 3	March 18, 2023
Verl	MSV Duisburg	1 - 0	September 18, 2022

Verl Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Bremer SV	6 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	VfL Wolfsburg	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 15, 26	Home	Paderborn II	0 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	TSV 1860 München	3 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Rot-Weiß Essen	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Havelse	4 - 0	Win

MSV Duisburg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Arminia Bielefeld	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Home	Beerschot Wilrijk	2 - 4	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Bonner SC	1 - 4	Win
Jul 12, 26	Away	FC OSS	0 - 1	Win
Jul 8, 26	Away	NEC Nijmegen	2 - 3	Win
May 16, 26	Home	FC Viktoria Köln	1 - 1	Draw

3. Liga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	MSV Duisburg	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Verl	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.78% likelihood that both Verl and MSV Duisburg will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Verl to win

This prediction indicates that Verl has a 46.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.08 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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