Vicenza Virtus vs Catania Sunday 09th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Vicenza Virtus Catania

Vicenza Virtus D W D W L D

Catania W L D D D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Genoa	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Triestina	1 - 6	Win
Apr 19, 26	Home	Pergolettese	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Novara	3 - 1	Win
Apr 3, 26	Away	Lecco	2 - 0	Loss
Mar 29, 26	Home	Union Brescia	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 27, 26	Home	Ascoli	2 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Ascoli	4 - 0	Loss
May 20, 26	Home	Lecco	3 - 3	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Lecco	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Atalanta II	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Home	Potenza	1 - 1	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.35% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Vicenza Virtus has a 44.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.81 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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