Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC Tuesday 21st July 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Vila Nova Fortaleza EC

Vila Nova W L W L W W

Fortaleza EC W W D L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fortaleza EC	Vila Nova	2 - 0	September 22, 2018
Vila Nova	Fortaleza EC	0 - 0	June 6, 2018
Vila Nova	Fortaleza EC	0 - 0	August 8, 2015
Fortaleza EC	Vila Nova	3 - 2	May 23, 2015

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 6, 26	Home	São Bernardo	2 - 1	Win
Jun 26, 26	Away	Novorizontino	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Nautico Recife	4 - 3	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	Cuiaba	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 8, 26	Home	Botafogo SP	1 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Londrina	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Home	Ponte Preta	2 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Home	Sport Recife	2 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	CRB	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 16, 26	Home	America Mineiro	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 9, 26	Away	Nautico Recife	0 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Vitoria	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Vila Nova	15	8	4	3	23	17	+6	28
4	Fortaleza EC	16	8	4	4	20	16	+4	28

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.33% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Vila Nova has a 37.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.97 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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